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Challenges in Adaptation of Plant Disease Warning Systems to New Locations: Re-Appraisal of Billing's Integrated System for Predicting Fire Blight in a Warm Dry Environment

September 2007 , Volume 97 , Number  9
Pages  1,036 - 1,039

Eve Billing

5 Mullings Court, Dollar Street, Cirencester, Gloucestershire, GL7 2AW, UK.

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Accepted for publication 4 April 2007.

The purpose of this letter is to describe approaches and possible pitfalls when a fire blight model developed in one climatic area is evaluated in a new location where weather conditions are markedly different. A case is described where a modified form of Billing's integrated system, BIS95, which was developed in a cool moist climate, was tested in a country where weather is warmer and drier. Prior to this, some features of fire blight epidemiology, management, and risk assessment are outlined.

© 2007 The American Phytopathological Society