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Polycyclic Epidemics
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(Photo courtesy of William E. Fry)
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Late blight of potato
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In order for an epidemic to be considered polycyclic, there must be
repeated complete infection cycles, that is, infection followed by pathogen
development, new inoculum production, dispersal to new susceptible sites, and
new infections, all within a single crop cycle. A good example is potato
late blight, where a single cycle of infection, lesion development, sporulation,
sporangium dispersal, and new infection can occur in as little as five days,
and many overlapping cycles occur simultaneously during periods of
favorable weather.
[Click on image]
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Late blight disease cycle
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Each cycle can produce more than a ten-fold increase in numbers of sporangia landing
on susceptible sites, and an explosive epidemic results. Cereal rusts behave similarly;
a single urediniospore can infect to produce a pustule from which hundreds of new
urediniospores can be released to infect and produce hundreds of new pustules repeatedly
throughout the season. Most plant diseases caused by bacteria are polycyclic, and many
plant viruses, with the aid of their insect vectors, also can produce
repeated cycles of infection in one season.
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