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If disease progress in monocyclic epidemics is linear, the slope of the
disease progress curve is constant. Furthermore, if disease progress in a
monocyclic epidemic is proportional to the amount of initial inoculum (which
is itself constant during the epidemic), we can make the slope of the disease
progress curve the product of initial inoculum and a proportionality constant.
Therefore, we can describe a monocyclic epidemic with linear disease progress
using the differential equation:
where
If we integrate the above differential equation, we get:
Graphically we see a straight line with an intercept of zero and a slope of
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